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Oil Spill Modeling Program
Additional References Pertaining to Oil-Spill Occurrence Rates
Anderson, C.M. & LaBelle, R.P. (2000).
Update of Comparative Occurrence Rates for Offshore Oil Spills. Spill
Science & Technology Bulletin, Vol. 6, No. 5/6, 303-321 (191 KB)
Anderson, C.M. & LaBelle, R.P. (1994).
Comparative Occurrence Rates for Offshore Oil Spills. Spill Science &
Technology Bulletin, Vol.1 No. 2, 131-141 (910 KB)
Anderson, C.M. & LaBelle, R.P. (1990).
Estimated Occurrence Rates for Analysis of Accidental Oil Spills on the U.S.
Outer Continental Shelf. Oil & Chem. Pollut. 6, 21 35 (440 KB)
Anderson, C.M. & LaBelle, R.P.
(1985).
The Application of
Oceanography to Oil-Spill Modeling for the Outer Continental Shelf Oil and
Gas Leasing Program. MTS Journal • Vol. 19, No. 2. (3.72 MB)
Devanney, J.W., III, & Stewart, R.J. (1974). Analysis of
Oilspill Statistics: Report to Council on Environmental Quality. Washington,
DC.
 Title-Page 15:
Title, Table of Contents, Oil Spill Statistics in General (567 KB)
Pages 16-31:
Probability Densities, Quantitative Implementation of the Assumptions
(597 KB)
Pages 32-47:
Tanker Spills Over 42,000 Gallons (542 KB)
Pages 48-64:
Figures 4.7 to 4.26 (624 KB)
Pages 65-86:
Vessel Spills Less Than 42,000 Gallons (787 KB)
Pages 87-99:
Spills Greater Than 42,000 Gallons (452 KB)
Pages 100-110:
Small Offshore Production Spills (390 KB)
Pages 111-126:
Total Volume Spilled, Summary, and References (657 KB)
Lanfear, K.J. & Amstutz, D.E. (1983).
A Reexamination of Occurrence Rates for Accidental Oil Spills on the
U.S. Outer Continental Shelf. 1983 Oil Spill Conference, American
Petroleum Institute, Washington, DC. (262 KB)
Nakassis, Anastase (1982).
Has Offshore Oil Production Become Safer? USGS Open-File Report 82-232 (534
KB).
Smith, R.A., Slack, J.R.,
Wyant, T. & Lanfear, K. J. (1982). The Oil Spill Risk Analysis Model of the
U.S. Geological Survey. USGS Professional Paper 1227, U.S. Geological
Survey, Reston, VA.
Complete Paper:
(1277 KB)
Title-Page 7:
Title, Contents, Abstract, Introduction, Representations of Physical
Data (682 KB)
Pages 8-17:
Winds, Currents, Oilspill Trajectory Simulation, Risk Calculation (610
KB)
Pages 18-24:
Spill Occurrence including Poisson as Predicted Probability Distribution
(399 KB)
 Pages 25-36:
Probability of Occurrence and Contact, Model Verification & Limitations,
Model Output and Case Examples, References (702 KB)
Appendix:
Appendix–Distribution Theory of Spill Incidence (166 KB) including:
1. The
derivation of the predicted probability distribution
2.
Moment-generating functions
3. Convergence
of the negative binomial to the Poisson
4. Distribution
of total number of spills from multiple sources
5. Distribution of the number of hits
Stewart, R.J. (1975). Oil
Spillage Associated with the Development of Offshore Petroleum
Resources. Report to Organization for Economic Co-operation and
Development. Martingale, Inc., Cambridge, MA.
Title-Page
23: Title, Introduction, Survey of Platform & Pipeline Spills,
Regression Analysis (Hypothesis 1) (691 KB)
Pages
24-49: Regression Analysis (Hypothesis 2),
Incidence of Oil Spillage in Hypothetical Developments, Spill Volume
Distribution, Conclusion and Bibliography (1,197 KB)
Stewart, R.J.
(1976). A Survey and Critical Review of U.S. Oil Spill Data Resources
with Application to the Tanker/Pipeline Controversy. Report to Office of
Policy Analysis, U.S. Department of the Interior, Washington, DC.
Martingale, Inc., Cambridge, MA.
Title-Page 19:
Title, Introduction, Average Volume Comparison Techniques (643 KB)
Pages 20-43:
Summary and Critiques of Data Resources (622 KB)
Pages 44-61:
Spillage of Oil by Tankers and Barges in U.S. Harbors (576 KB)
Pages 62-74:
General Statistical Summary, Bibliography (370 KB)
Stewart, R.J., and Kennedy, M.B. (1978). An Analysis of U.S.
Tanker and Offshore Petroleum Production Oil Spillage through 1975:
Report to Office of Policy Analysis. U.S. Department of the Interior,
Contract Number 14-02-0001-2193.
Title-Page 16:
Title, Executive Summary, Table of Contents, Background, Data Sources
(877 KB)
Pages 17-35:
Editing and Correcting PIRS Tanker Data, U.S. Tanker Spill Incidence
Model (720 KB)
Pages 36-51:
U.S. Tanker Spill Volume Model, Intentional Discharge (612 KB)
Pages 52-65:
U.S. and Foreign Tankers (462 KB)
Pages 66-91:
Offshore Platform Spill Incidence Model, Volume Distributions for
Production Platform Spills (809 KB)
Pages 92-107:
Pipeline Spills, Use of Models, Data Collection Recommendations (531 KB)
Pages 108-115:
Summary and Conclusions, References (264 KB)
Appendix A:
Data Processing Overview (769 KB)
Appendices
B-D:
Offsets of Posterior
CDF’s, Summary of the Status of the Bayesian Hypothesis Technique,
Preliminary Extreme Value Analysis of Platform & Pipeline Spills
(1964-1975) (436 KB)
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